I. Advances in Seamless Prediction(无缝隙预测的进展):聚焦从天气到气候、从区域到全球的无缝预测理论与方法的最新突破,围绕跨时间尺度(临近预报、中期预报到季节—年代际预测)和跨空间尺度的衔接融合,探讨观测资料同化、集合预报、多模式耦合等前沿进展,并将预测成果转化为面向交通、农业、能源、公共卫生等行业的精细化服务。
II. AI for Earth(人工智能与地球科学):从传统气象预测延伸至海洋、水文、生态等更广泛的地球系统领域,重点探讨大语言模型、基础模型(Foundation Models)等新一代AI技术在数据驱动建模、极端事件检测、多源数据融合等方面的创新应用,以及AI与物理模型深度融合的路径。
二、Disaster Risk Reduction and Sustainable Developments(防灾减灾与可持续发展)
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Precipitation Prediction: Emerging Opportunities from Physics and AI
Prof. Peter Schlosser
Arizona State University
TBC
Prof. Upmanu Lall
Arizona State University
Taming the Storm: Can We Predict, Engineer, and Reduce Losses from Climate and Weather Extremes?
陆萌茜 教授
香港科技大学
Seamless Prediction in Practice: AI Meets Dynamics and Year-One Milestones
杨静 教授
北京师范大学
Bridging the last mile: Delivering Subseasonal Prediction to End Users
梁萍 博士
上海市气象局
Subseasonal Prediction of Summer Hazards from Research to Operations for Disaster Risk Reduction and Sustainable Development: Shanghai Practice
钱培元 教授
香港科技大学
Why Methane Emission from Cold Seeps in Global Ocean Matters
Dr. Andrew Robertson
Columbia University
Improved Multi-Model Sub-seasonal Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Forecasts with Machine Learning
何金海 教授
南京信息工程大学
Atmospheric Science in Earth Sciences: Discipline Development and Talent Cultivation
Prof. Ximing Cai
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
Social Impact Assessment of Extreme Weather Events – Can Reliable Information be Extracted from Unreliable Social Media Datasets?
Prof. Balaji Rajagopalan
University of Colorado, Boulder
TBC
陈文 教授
云南大学
Recent Extreme Drying and Warming Climate in the Northeast Asian Climate Transitional Zone
郭维栋 教授
南京大学
Revisiting Biophysical Impacts of Greening on Precipitation Over the Loess Plateau of China Using WRF With Water Vapor Tracers
包庆 研究员
中国科学院大气物理研究所
Breaking the MJO Forecast Skill Barrier: Large-Sample Ensemble Initialization for IAP-CAS S2S and Its Application to Real-Time Prediction
Dr. Doaa Mohamed Amin
Water Resources Research Institute, National Water Research Center
From Risk to Resource: Sustainable Solutions for Flash Floods in Egypt
Dr. Stacey New
UK Met Office
Climate Services in Action: Co-producing Services for Resilient Development
Dr. Rongkun Liu
ICIMOD
TBC
简俊 教授
大连海事大学
TBC
董建志 教授
天津大学
End-to-End Data Assimilation for Skillful Flash Drought Forecasting
武强 副研究员
兰州大学
From Competition to Coordination: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Adaptive and Evolvable AI Weather Forecasting
Otto Poon Lecture Series 2026(2026 潘乐陶系列讲座)海报 · 主讲人 Prof. Upmanu Lall
会议日程
(讲座报告时长为25分钟;日程如有调整以官网为准)
7月6日(周一)注册报到日
09:00–18:00会议注册、报到、办理入住
为保障会议顺畅进行,欢迎各位老师于论坛正式开始前一天提前办理酒店入住及会议注册等相关事项。
7月7日(周二)正会第一日 · 会议主题:地球系统科学与工程
9:00–9:10开幕致辞 / 大合照
9:10–10:25讲座报告(3个)
9:10–9:35陆萌茜 教授(香港科技大学)— Seamless Prediction in Practice: AI Meets Dynamics and Year-One Milestones
9:35–10:00陈德亮 院士(清华大学)— Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Precipitation Prediction: Emerging Opportunities from Physics and AI
10:00–10:25钱培元 教授(香港科技大学)— Why Methane Emission from Cold Seeps in Global Ocean Matters
10:25–10:50专题讨论(Panel Chair:包庆 研究员,中科院大气物理研究所)
10:50–11:00茶歇
11:00–12:15讲座报告(3个)
11:00–11:25郭维栋 教授(南京大学)— Revisiting Biophysical Impacts of Greening on Precipitation Over the Loess Plateau of China Using WRF With Water Vapor Tracers
11:25–11:50陈文 教授(云南大学)— Recent Extreme Drying and Warming Climate in the Northeast Asian Climate Transitional Zone
11:50–12:15何金海 教授(南京信息工程大学)— Atmospheric Science in Earth Sciences: Discipline Development and Talent Cultivation
12:15–12:40专题讨论(Panel Chair:梁萍 博士,上海市气象局)
下午 14:20–15:35讲座报告(3个)
14:20–14:45Dr. Andrew Robertson(Columbia University)— Improved Multi-Model Sub-seasonal Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Forecasts with Machine Learning
14:45–15:10包庆 研究员(中科院大气物理研究所)— Breaking the MJO Forecast Skill Barrier: Large-Sample Ensemble Initialization for IAP-CAS S2S and Its Application to Real-Time Prediction
15:10–15:35董建志 教授(天津大学)— End-to-End Data Assimilation for Skillful Flash Drought Forecasting
15:35–16:00专题讨论(Panel Chair:Prof. Ximing Cai,University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign)
16:00–16:10茶歇
16:10–17:00快闪报告 / 海报交流
7月8日(周三)正会第二日 · 防灾减灾与可持续发展(上午);内部闭门会议(下午)
9:00–9:10致辞 / 大合照
9:10–10:25讲座报告(3个)
9:10–9:35Prof. Peter Schlosser(Arizona State University)— TBC
9:35–10:00Prof. Ximing Cai(University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign)— Social Impact Assessment of Extreme Weather Events – Can Reliable Information be Extracted from Unreliable Social Media Datasets?
10:00–10:25Prof. Balaji Rajagopalan(University of Colorado, Boulder)— TBC
10:25–10:50专题讨论(Panel Chair:Dr. Andrew Robertson,Columbia University)
10:50–11:00茶歇
11:00–12:15讲座报告(3个)
11:00–11:25梁萍 博士(上海市气象局)— Subseasonal Prediction of Summer Hazards from Research to Operations for Disaster Risk Reduction and Sustainable Development: Shanghai Practice
11:25–11:50Dr. Rongkun Liu(ICIMOD)— TBC
11:50–12:15武强 研究员(兰州大学)— From Competition to Coordination: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Adaptive and Evolvable AI Weather Forecasting
12:15–12:40专题讨论(Panel Chair:杨静 教授,北京师范大学)
下午 14:20–17:00海报环节 / 内部闭门会议
7月9日(周四)正会第三日 · 2026 潘乐陶系列讲座(上午);防灾减灾与可持续发展(下午)
9:00–9:10致辞 / 大合照
9:10–10:302026 潘乐陶系列讲座报告
主讲人Prof. Upmanu Lall(Arizona State University)— Taming the Storm: Can We Predict, Engineer, and Reduce Losses from Climate and Weather Extremes?
10:30–11:00专题讨论
Panel Chair:Prof. Balaji Rajagopalan(University of Colorado, Boulder)
Panel Members:Prof. Upmanu Lall(ASU)、Prof. Peter Schlosser(ASU)、Prof. Andrew Robertson(Columbia)、Prof. Mengqian Lu(HKUST)
11:00–11:10潘乐陶系列讲座报告闭幕致辞
11:10–12:00交流环节
下午 14:00–15:40讲座报告(4个)
14:00–14:25杨静 教授(北京师范大学)— Bridging the last mile: Delivering Subseasonal Prediction to End Users
14:25–14:50Dr. Stacey New(UK Met Office)— Climate Services in Action: Co-producing Services for Resilient Development
14:50–15:15Dr. Doaa Mohamed Amin(Water Resources Research Institute, National Water Research Center)— From Risk to Resource: Sustainable Solutions for Flash Floods in Egypt